horse racing

Where Is Nick Mordin?

I once received an email if I knew where was Nick Mordin? I answered: “I have no idea.”

The reason I was contacted is because my twin brother, Tony, conducted a groundbreaking study. We delved deep into the relevance of pattern-race entries in two-year-old horse racing and their potential to identify future champions. This data was later compiled into an article by Nick Mordin, a highly respected figure in the racing world, and featured in The Weekender publication.

The article was titled In a Class of Their Own: How to Spot & Back Potential Top-Notch Two-Year-Olds. Although I can’t recall the exact date of publication, I found a link to the article dated May 14th, 1994, on the High Class Equine website. This research was the first of its kind and made quite an impact, as it provided an innovative way to identify young horses with potential. To this day, people still comment on the study, acknowledging its lasting relevance in the world of horse racing analysis.

Even now, my brother and I continue to use this research, and we share some of its findings through our Group Horse Subscription and Easy Professional Gambler Mailing Series, which we offer free of charge to subscribers.

Nick Mordin, the man behind this article, earned widespread respect in the horse racing industry for his unique ability to find betting angles and provide valuable insights. He authored several influential books, including:

Betting for a Living (1992)
The Winning Look (1994)
Mordin on Time (1996)
Winning Without Thinking (2002)

These publications were well-received and remain valuable resources for anyone looking to sharpen their betting strategies. I have a couple of them in my personal collection, and I’ve seen discussions on Betfair’s community forums where punters still talk about Mordin’s work.

It’s been said that Mordin moved to the United States, though I’m unsure if that’s true. Many racing enthusiasts might remember when Harry Findlay criticized Mordin, possibly over a disagreement about Denman’s chances of winning the Gold Cup. Unfortunately, my memory is a bit hazy on the details.

Regardless, wherever Nick Mordin is now, I hope life is treating him well. My brother often reminisces about the phone conversation he had with Mordin back in the day, which left a lasting impression on him.

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Do All Professional Gamblers Share the Same Philosophy?

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Do All Professional Gamblers Share the Same Philosophy?When it comes to professional gambling, it’s tempting to assume that success follows a universal set of rules. Many believe that there are certain principles or disciplines that all professional gamblers must adhere to in order to win consistently. To an extent, this is true. Any successful gambler will tell you that discipline, patience, and a deep understanding of risk management are essential. However, beyond these shared basics, the philosophies of professional gamblers can differ dramatically. Their approaches to risk, analysis, and even the type of bets they favor vary widely. In fact, some of the most famous professional gamblers—such as Phil Bull, Alex Bird, Clive Holt, and Jack Ramsden—offer a range of views and strategies, demonstrating that while success in gambling has common traits, each individual gambler has their own unique answer to key questions.

Basic Principles All Successful Professional Gamblers Share:

Before delving into the differences, it’s worth identifying the common ground that professional gamblers share. These shared traits form the foundation of success in gambling, regardless of the specific betting philosophy:

Discipline: Professional gamblers are highly disciplined, and this is a core trait that cuts across all styles. They avoid impulsive bets, stay within their betting limits, and don’t chase losses. Discipline ensures they survive the inevitable losing streaks.

Risk Management: Successful gamblers understand risk better than anyone. They recognize that gambling is about probabilities, not certainties, and they never wager money they can’t afford to lose. This means protecting their bankroll at all costs and only taking calculated risks.

Patience: In gambling, patience is a virtue. Successful bettors often wait long periods for the right opportunity to make a big bet. Rushed decisions tend to lead to losses.

Knowledge: All professional gamblers are experts in their chosen field. Whether it’s horse racing, football, poker, or blackjack, they have a depth of knowledge that allows them to spot value where others can’t.

Adaptability: The best gamblers know that markets and games evolve. They adjust their strategies over time, recognizing that what worked yesterday may not work tomorrow.

While these principles hold true for most professional gamblers, their philosophies beyond these points can be radically different. Let’s take a look at some of the notable professional gamblers and how their strategies diverge.

Contrasting Philosophies Among Professional Gamblers:

1. Phil Bull – The Mathematical Approach:

Phil Bull, founder of Timeform, is a prime example of a gambler who relied heavily on mathematics and analysis. A trained mathematician, Bull believed that by assigning horses objective ratings based on past performances, he could identify which horses were underpriced by bookmakers. His approach was methodical and scientific, combining detailed statistical analysis with form reading.

Bull’s philosophy was centered around the idea that success comes from finding value in the market. He didn’t rely on instincts or gut feelings—his decisions were driven entirely by data. For Bull, if the numbers didn’t back a bet, it wasn’t worth placing.

2. Alex Bird – The Photo Finish Specialist:

In contrast, Alex Bird built his fortune by specializing in one very specific aspect of horse racing—photo finishes. Bird’s success came not from a deep dive into statistical analysis like Bull, but rather from his keen eye and understanding of how race outcomes could be determined by split-second judgments. He famously wagered on horses in races that he believed were likely to end in a photo finish, and through years of studying the nuances of race tracks and the movement of horses, he often correctly predicted the outcomes.

While Bird had an exceptional understanding of form, his philosophy was more instinctive and opportunistic. He wasn’t looking to win every bet but instead focused on seizing rare opportunities that others missed. His success highlights that, while data is crucial, intuition can play a significant role too.

3. Clive Holt – The Systematic Approach:

Clive Holt took yet another approach to professional gambling. As the creator of the “Fineform” system, Holt developed a structured betting strategy that involved rating horses based on a specific set of criteria, such as recent form, weight carried, and the quality of the jockey. His system aimed to simplify the complexities of horse racing and give bettors a repeatable process to follow.

Holt’s philosophy revolved around consistency. He believed that by sticking rigidly to his system, punters could avoid the emotional pitfalls of gambling, such as chasing losses or over-betting on longshots. This system-based approach was ideal for those who preferred order and logic over instinct and gut feelings.

4. Jack Ramsden – The Contrarian:

Jack Ramsden, a notorious professional gambler and horse owner, had a very different outlook. Ramsden’s strategy was more contrarian, focusing on exploiting the mistakes of bookmakers. Known for his love of backing longshots, Ramsden would frequently bet on horses that were overlooked by the majority of punters and bookmakers. He believed that the public and bookmakers often undervalue certain horses, especially in competitive fields, and that by betting against the crowd, there was more value to be found.

This philosophy highlights a key difference between Ramsden and gamblers like Phil Bull—while Bull used data to find value within the bookmaker’s odds, Ramsden was more interested in finding hidden value where the public was wrong.

5 Key Points of Divergence in Gambling Philosophy:

1) Data-Driven vs. Intuitive: Phil Bull exemplifies the mathematical, data-driven approach, while Alex Bird thrived on intuition and observational skill.

2) Specialization vs. Generalization: Bird’s focus on photo finishes shows the value of specialization, whereas gamblers like Clive Holt developed systems that worked across various betting scenarios.

3) Value Hunting: Some gamblers, like Ramsden, look for value by opposing the majority, while others, like Bull, seek value through meticulous analysis of form and statistics.

4) System vs. Flexibility: Clive Holt’s Fineform system offers a rigid, repeatable strategy, whereas Ramsden’s approach required more flexibility and willingness to take risks on longshots.

5) Risk Appetite: Gamblers like Ramsden embraced higher-risk bets, while others, like Holt, focused on minimizing risk through systematic betting.

Conclusion:

While all professional gamblers share certain traits like discipline, risk management, and deep knowledge of their chosen field, their philosophies often diverge in important ways. Whether it’s the data-driven approach of Phil Bull, the specialized betting of Alex Bird, or the contrarian longshot strategy of Jack Ramsden, each gambler finds success in their own way. There’s no single path to becoming a successful gambler—only the path that works best for the individual.

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